Bridgewater Insights | 10th December 2024
Progress
toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 has faltered
significantly, with only 17% of the SDGs projected to be realised by 2024, as
the world struggles with the fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical
tensions, and the worsening effects of climate change. Alarmingly, 17% of the
SDGs have regressed below 2015 baseline levels and thus, meeting the SDG
targets will now require annual investments of $5-7 trillion, up from the
previous estimate of $3 trillion.
Despite these daunting statistics, Africa emerges as a beacon of hope, offering untapped potential in the energy sector to bridge the SDG gap. This therefore underscores the urgent need for innovative solutions and collaborative efforts in the African energy sector to turn back the clock.
Shining examples of Africa’s success in SDG projects
Africa’s leadership in renewable energy in recent years demonstrates the continent’s capacity to drive impactful SDG investments. Despite a notable nosedive in renewable energy investment in 2023, investors remain enticed by Africa’s renewable energy sector, as the indicative return profiles for this sector are among the highest. Particularly, countries such as Egypt, Mauritania, Morocco and South Africa, are at the forefront of Africa’s renewable energy, ensuring that wind and solar power dominates Africa’s renewable energy mix within the next 15 years.
In fact, despite
receiving only 2% of global clean energy funding, Africa showcased
groundbreaking SDG-related projects that inspire confidence in its potential. One
of such projects is Morocco’s Noor Ouarzazate Solar Complex, the world's
largest concentrated solar, producing 580MW of clean energy. This US$2.5 billion
initiative is expected to yield 12% returns on equity while offsetting over 773,000
tons of CO₂ emissions annually, evidently exemplifying the continent’s
ability to align investment returns with sustainable development.
Similarly, South
Africa’s Kenhardt hybrid solar and battery facility – a combination of 540MW
solar energy and 225MW/1140Wh battery storage – is alleviating the country’s energy
crisis by serving South Africa national power grid 16.5 hours daily. More
importantly, the project prevents 870,000 tons of carbon emissions each year,
which further solidifies Africa’s role in combating climate change.
Emerging opportunities to close the SDG gap
Africa’s potential to attract impactful investments extends beyond renewable energy. Its unique geography and geology demographics, and responsiveness to global trends position the continent as a fertile ground for innovation across various industries with attractive returns for potential investors.
Sustainable Cooling: A Hot Market Opportunity
As global temperatures rise, sustainable cooling solutions are becoming a necessity. In fact, the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) predict this market will increase from US$ 300 billion annually to US$600 billion by 2050, with Africa contributing over US$105 billion to this total. This emerging opportunity not only addresses heat-induced challenges but also offers significant energy savings, potentially reducing electricity bills globally by $5.6 trillion by 2050.
Beyond comfort, the
sustainable cooling solutions also have critical applications in agriculture,
minimizing food spoilage through improved cold storage. For investors, this
presents a dual opportunity: generating attractive financial returns while
addressing food security in vulnerable regions.
Green Hydrogen
Further, green
hydrogen could become the longer-term cherry on the cake for Africa. This is primarily
because green hydrogen has become the cornerstone of global decarbonization
efforts, with about $30 trillion required globally for its production,
transportation, and usage by 2050. Fortunately, Africa holds a unique
competitive advantage in this area, making it an attractive prospect for
foreign investors. Moreso, the continent’s abundant solar and wind resources
make it a prime candidate to supply about 25-50% of the world's hydrogen.
Ironically, despite
Africa's immense potential for green energy, a significant energy access gap
persists across the continent. That’s right! The cobbler’s child has no shoes. This
therefore makes it the opportune moment for Africa to capitalize on the growing
foreign investment interest in green energy to bridge this wide energy access
gap and to generate hard currency through exports. The good news is that
countries such as Egypt, Morocco, Namibia, and Ethiopia are already leading the
charge, crafting hydrogen roadmaps and establishing international partnerships.
The European Union’s goal of importing 10 million tonnes of green hydrogen by 2030 has prompted some agreements with Africa nations, setting the stage for Africa to become a global hub for clean energy export. In addition, Europe’s efforts to cut its energy dependence on Russia continue to inadvertently create opportunities for Africa. For instance, Senegal's FDI is forecasted to surge to about 9% of GDP in 2024, largely powered by the hydrocarbons sector. Similarly, investments in liquefied natural gas have elevated FDI in Mauritania and Mozambique to over 10% of GDP, while Namibia’s offshore energy discoveries have also begun to attract substantial investment.
Conclusion
In
a nutshell, Africa’s journey to unlocking its SDG investment potential is a
narrative of opportunity, resilience, and innovation. By scaling up its share
of global energy funding and promoting industries like sustainable cooling and
green hydrogen, the continent can become a mainstay of sustainable development.
Indeed,
the road to achieving the SDGs by 2030 is steep, but Africa’s promise shines
bright as it continues to prove that the key to a sustainable future lies within
its borders. With the right policies, collaborative partnerships, and
investments, this continent can transform the global SDG landscape.